You know, experts cannot agree on whether 2025 will bring an economic downturn. Many would say such economic uncertainty is a bad time to start a business. But they are wrong.
Half of all Fortune 500 companies, from Apple to Uber, were launched during economic uncertainties. So you are in good company.
4 Reasons Uncertain Times Are the Best Time to Launch
First, downturns historically mean more government and investor support to stimulate jobs and growth. This means you will find more lending or grant opportunities to help you launch.
Second, costs drop. Everything from labor to materials to marketing becomes more affordable, especially with ongoing rate cuts.
Third, uncertain economies create new pain points and needs that brand new businesses, who are better able to pivot, can solve.
And most importantly? Less competition. Freelancers take 9-to-5s, or businesses scale back or shut down, leaving space for you to step in.
Uncertain times separate the wantrepreneurs from the entrepreneurs. If you have got the guts, this is your time to get the glory.
So let us talk industries and businesses that shine in any economy. Read to the end to find the one that will work for you.
Top 5 Industries for Uncertain Economies
1. Healthcare. You might not want to run out and become a doctor, but think about opportunities such as caregiving. Those needs do not change in an uncertain economy, and many of the skills needed for it are easily accessible.
2. Consumer Staples. Food, personal care, household items, also not going anywhere. Think about everyday items you use and how you just wish you could find one that ____. With things like Amazon FBA and inexpensive manufacturing costs, this can be a great time to run with that idea you have been sitting on.
3. Auto Repair and Maintenance. You might not be a mechanic, but you can be a business owner who consults with and hires skilled mechanics, and creates an auto service company that clients do not hate.
4. Home Repairs, Maintenance, or Renovation. If you have trade skills, or can hire those who do, you are in demand. My own husband owns a construction company and has seen how many skilled workers are about to retire. Many of us predict this shortage in trades will lead to great wages as demand outstrips supply, so consider taking your love for gardening or home painting, or your time in the union, and turning it into a trade business.
5. Pleasure Industries. When economies slow and people feel the stress, we seek out two things: pleasure and pampering. One side of this is called the lipstick effect, where sales for inexpensive luxuries like lipstick skyrocket in downturns. The other side can be anything from alcohol and cigarettes or other pleasures. You do not need to go out and sell your bathwater, but do think about products or services you can offer that are inexpensive and simply exist to make a person feel less stressed during stressful times.
Why Service-Based Businesses Win Right Now
Service based businesses of all kinds will be the easiest to start and even scale because they have less overhead than product-based, can often be built through word of mouth, and can rely on your current skill set.
Start by looking at your skills, then asking, "Who out there pays for my skills?" If you are not sure, consider these questions:
- Do you have a skill in a trade? Carpenters, handymen, electricians, and so on. If you have the trade skills, all you need are the business skills to back them up. Remember, you can be good at what you do, but that does not make you good at business.
- Do you have any skills or experience in professional services? Maybe you have worked in HR for years, or can debug computers, or know your way around Canva. You do not even need to be the best of the best to start. You just need to be able to do something a potential client cannot do. So do an inventory of your own skills, what comes easier to you than most, and start from there.
- Do you have an aptitude for something others do not? For example, maybe you love to cook, or you find every typo in any book you have ever read, or you excel at high school math. Even without much professional experience, if you are willing to keep sharpening that aptitude into a skill you can charge for (like meal planning or proofreading for self-published authors or tutoring) you could have yourself a business. Ask yourself what you can do and who would be willing to pay you for it.
- And if you have no skills at all, you still have options. You could pet or house sit, walk dogs, scoop poop, run errands, or even get hired to be a companion to a homebound person or to act like a homemaker to a working person. Or if you have the ability to watch a YouTube video, you could learn how to clean anything, or turn any interest into a real talent. Just because you do not have the skills now, does not mean you cannot gain them. Sure it takes time, but that time is gonna pass anyway. Let us make sure you have used it to get somewhere better.
Ready to build the right business for this economy?
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Take the Free AssessmentThe First 3 Steps to Make Sure Your Business Survives
You can start almost any business in almost any economy. It is much less the economy and much more your tenacity, your attitude, and your skills that will determine your success.
A person can be good at what they do, but that does not make them good at business. So how do you make sure your business will survive? With these first 3 steps:
Step 1: Do Not Skimp on Market Research
I hear from business owners who feel like they waste time researching instead of just jumping into their idea. But good market research will show you who to market to, how to market to them, what to sell them and how, what your price points should be, your branding, your messaging, all the way down to the exact words on your website.
It literally is what makes or breaks the success of your business. In fact, poor market research is on every top 5 list of why businesses fail, so whatever you do, do not skimp on this one.
Step 2: Create a Solid Business and Marketing Plan
Ben Franklin said, "If we fail to plan, we plan to fail." A solid plan eliminates second guessing and a lot of wasted time and money, especially if it is built on that solid market research.
Hint: posting on social media is not a marketing plan. And it is not right for all businesses. A complete marketing plan includes 5 different stages with different tactics for each, and social does not always need to be one of them. I have personally helped multiple businesses earn over 7 figures without any social media.
Marketing especially is where the majority of your energy will go as a business owner, so get skilled in building a business and marketing plan that will work for you, not against you.
Step 3: Get Your Legal Ducks in a Row
Once you have your business and marketing plan in place, it is time to handle things like your Business tax ID, financial accounts, payment processors, and more.
Notice in none of this did I say go out and start taking action, which may make you think you will not be making money anytime soon. But if you learn to do this through someone like me, this whole process can take as little as a few weeks and can bring in your first payments before your business plan is even finished. And it ensures that the months to come are profitable faster. In fact, my clients are profitable within months, not years.
It is your tenacity above all else that will determine your outcomes. If you want to start a business, do not wait for the conditions to be perfect, because everyone else will be too. Do the things others will not do to have the success others will not have.
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